Political and Economic Dynamics of Inflation in U.S. Military Spending

Mümin Ahmedoğlu
8 min readSep 7, 2024

Introduction

The American military budget inflation is a difficult question, involving diverse political, economic, and institutional factors. The rate of military inflation in 1940 was on an advancing track compared to the non-military governmental sector and with respect to the entire economy (Fordham, 2003). With such regard, trying to figure out the exact cost of military spending through time becomes fairly challenging. In the seminal work “The Political and Economic Sources of Inflation in the American Military Budget” by Benjamin O. Fordham, reasons for the existence of that reality are listed as follows: public sector inflation induced by labor intensity, the cyclic nature of military spending, and the effect of the Pentagon on deflator series. This article thus consolidates Fordham’s work and relevant literature to serve as a basis from which to understand inflation in the U.S. military budget.

Public-Sector Inflation and the Military: Baumol’s Disease

Another more general explanation for the rise of public-sector inflation is relative inefficiency within labor-intensive government services compared with the capital-intensive private sector having greater gains in productivity. This process is often referred to as…

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Mümin Ahmedoğlu

Researcher | Defense Innovation | Economics of Defense | B.Sc. Industrial Engineering | M.Sc. Management & Technology | Turkey | Germany